The radar
Where demand is highand supply is low.
Every problem, ranked by opportunity: how badly the world needs a solution, divided by how well-served it already is. The biggest gaps are the best places to start. This is step zero.
The allocation quadrant
Demand, against the capital actually flowing.
Each problem plotted by how much it matters (demand) against the dollars per year pointed at it (sourced estimates, log scale). The top-left quadrant is the product: high demand, thin capital. That is where the next great company is hiding.
Ensure increasingly capable AI systems remain corrigible, honest, and aligned with human values.
6 cos · 4 funds on it · $600M/yr ↗ · $3T prize
Prevent engineered and naturally-emerging pandemics from wiping out humanity or crippling civilization.
4 cos · 3 funds on it · $4B/yr ↘ · $200B prize
Lift the ~700 million people living on less than $2.15 a day into stable prosperity.
0 cos · 0 funds on it · $212B/yr ↘ · $500B prize
The Copenhagen Consensus welfare floor, pennies save lives, and we still are not spending them.
5 cos · 3 funds on it · $25B/yr ↘ · $200B prize
Close the gap between what materials cost and what buildings cost, housing is 5× its bill of materials.
5 cos · 5 funds on it · $10B/yr ↘ · $300B prize
The US Surgeon General called it an epidemic. Mortality effect equivalent to smoking 15 cigarettes a day.
4 cos · 1 funds on it · $300M/yr → · $200B prize
Extend healthspan. Aging is the single largest driver of disease burden, and it is treatable.
8 cos · 5 funds on it · $8B/yr → · $3T prize
Decarbonize the global economy fast enough to limit warming, while keeping energy cheap and abundant.
0 cos · 0 funds on it · $1.5T/yr ↗ · $1T prize
Close Bloom's 2-sigma gap, every child deserves a personal tutor, and AI may finally make it tractable.
5 cos · 3 funds on it · $3B/yr ↘ · $300B prize
Every developed country is below replacement. Under-counted by EA and e/acc. Civilizationally large.
4 cos · 1 funds on it · $1B/yr → · $200B prize
Ideas are getting harder to find. Reverse the decline in research productivity per dollar.
9 cos · 8 funds on it · $400M/yr ↗ · $1T prize
Produce clean, cheap, dispatchable energy at civilizational scale, fusion, advanced fission, geothermal.
34 cos · 12 funds on it · $2.2T/yr ↗ · $2T prize
opportunity = demand (humans affected × severity × market) divided by supply (companies, capital, and solution quality already on it), nudged by urgency. Higher = a bigger, more urgent, less-served gap. The ● dots show how many independent demand signals (burden, willingness-to-pay, capital, research, policy, expert priors) corroborate the number — more dots = more credible. allocation compares each problem’s share of real capital ($/yr, sourced estimates) to its share of demand: under half its fair share = underallocated, over double = overallocated. Arrows = 3-year capital momentum. Full method on the methodology page.
Weekly whitepaper drop
One problem.One whitepaper. Every week.
Each week we ship a deep-dive whitepaper on a top-ranked humanity-scale problem — built in the spirit of Musk’s Hyperloop Alpha and the transformer paper. Problem + market size + before/after vision + a proposed solution + the investors who would back it. Humanity’s Requests for Startups, sourced and sorted quantitatively. No spam. No marketing.
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the three routings
1 · weekly whitepaper
one humanity-scale problem per week, deep-dived to whitepaper depth. ships every monday.
2 · founder → problem match
if you’re building, we’ll route you toward the problem and capital stack you fit.
3 · allocator → deal flow
if you’re deploying capital, curated quest-mapped deal flow in the domains you care about.