The atlas · progress

The history of human problem-solving.

For most of history, humanity barely moved on any axis that mattered. Then, around 1820, the Industrial Revolution kicked off compounding gains in nearly every welfare measure. The numbers below document what humans have actually solved, and the slope we’re still on. Sources: Our World in Data, World Bank, UN, ITU, Maddison Project.

milestones7
span1800-2024

Extreme poverty rate

Share of humans living on less than ~$2.15/day (2017 PPP). For most of human history, the answer was "almost everyone." Then, around 1820, the curve broke.

1820

90.0%

2022

8.5%

10.6× lowersource

Child mortality (under 5)

Share of children who die before their fifth birthday. The single starkest measure of whether a society works.

1800

43.0%

2022

3.7%

11.6× lowersource

Adult literacy

Share of adults who can read and write. Compounds across generations — every literate parent makes the next round of literacy easier.

1820

12.0%

2022

87.0%

7.3× highersource

Life expectancy at birth

Years a newborn can expect to live. Historically driven by child-mortality reductions; now also by adult-disease control and chronic-disease management.

1800

30 yrs

2023

73 yrs

2.4× highersource

Real GDP per capita (global)

Inflation-adjusted economic output per person. The quiet engine behind nearly every other metric on this page.

1820

$1,200

2022

$16,700

13.9× highersource

Electricity access

Share of humans with reliable access to electric power. Underwrites everything else: refrigeration, lighting at night, the internet, modern hospitals.

1900

3.0%

2022

91.0%

30.3× highersource

Internet users

Share of humans connected to the internet. The substrate of most coordination today and most of what optimism.fun is built on.

1995

0.8%

2024

67.0%

83.8× highersource

what’s still on the table

The gains aren’t guaranteed. The next century is still ours to lose.

Progress on infectious disease, energy, and literacy compounds because someone is actively working on it. Stagnation is the default. Every metric above is the accumulated work of generations who chose hard, useful quests instead of easy ones.

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