all problems
welfare floorhumans affected:high· updated 2026-06-09

Climate change

Decarbonize the global economy fast enough to limit warming, while keeping energy cheap and abundant.

The scale of it

37.4Bworsening

tonnes of CO2 emitted per year (fossil)

19902023

The capital on it

$1.5T/yr↗ risingoverallocated · 11× fair share

All tracked climate finance, public + private, mitigation + adaptation. Adaptation is only ~5% of it. Substantially overlaps clean-energy investment counted under energy abundance.

20192022

source: Climate Policy Initiative — Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2024 · confidence med · estimate, improvable by PR

The prize at the limit

$1Tin-the-limit market cap, if the team executes perfectly

Beyond clean energy: the firm that decarbonizes heavy industry (steel, cement) and removes legacy carbon cheaply sits on a multi-decade, government-backstopped demand curve. The ceiling is supermajor-scale.

comparable: an industrial supermajor + a carbon-removal monopoly · confidence low · a ceiling, not a forecast

Whitepaper · v0.1 · open to refutation

The summary lives here. The full whitepaper walks through the four-axis ranking, existing alternatives, proposed direction, cost & scale, and suggested investors — in the spirit of Hyperloop Alpha.

Quantity · humans affected

8.2Bhumans

source: IPCC AR6 — climate impacts are global

Severity · WTP / wealth

20%low

share of affected person’s wealth they would pay for a solution

Priority score

12

importance × urgency, 0–100

Importance

15

humans affected × severity, gated by market

Urgency

80

direction of travel + solution gap

Neglectedness

3/10

Climate is now very well funded overall, but the hard-to-abate frontier (industrial heat, cement, steel, aviation, carbon removal) remains comparatively underfunded.

med

Tractability

7/10

For power, the cost curves already won. The remaining wedges (industry, aviation, removal) are genuine engineering frontiers with clear targets.

high

Ways to help

Build

Build industrial decarbonization, clean firm power, or durable carbon removal.

Policy

Work on permitting reform, carbon pricing, and clean-energy deployment.

Career

Climate engineering, project finance, or energy-systems modeling.

Organizations

People to follow

Three-lens scoring

welfare · copenhagen BCR
10.0× per $low
x-risk · 80k hours ITNn/a
utility delta · state-of-art vs physics
50%med

Climate change is a problem of getting clean energy and industry cheaper than the dirty incumbents, fast. The optimistic case is strong: solar, wind, and batteries have fallen ~90% in cost in a decade and are now the cheapest power in history. Emissions are still rising, so the work is real, but the frontier is concrete: industrial heat, cement, steel, aviation, and durable carbon removal. The framing here is not sacrifice, it is abundance: the same cheap clean energy that limits warming also lifts living standards.

Companies on this quest

0 mapped

No companies mapped yet. Known gap.

Capital funding this quest

0 allocators

No allocators mapped yet. Known gap.

Writing about this right now

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Sources