Energy abundance
Produce clean, cheap, dispatchable energy at civilizational scale, fusion, advanced fission, geothermal.
The summary lives here. The full whitepaper walks through the four-axis ranking, existing alternatives, proposed direction, cost & scale, and suggested investors — in the spirit of Hyperloop Alpha.
Severity · WTP / wealth
share of affected person’s wealth they would pay for a solution
Current solutions
quality of existing solutions — low score = high opportunity
Market size · TAM
USD / year the world is already paying
Time · OOM to impact
order-of-magnitude horizon to civilizational-scale impact
Capital · OOM to solve
cumulative R&D + deployment + supply chain across the arc
Three-lens scoring
Energy underwrites every other quest. Current global primary energy use is ~600 EJ/year at ~$0.10/kWh average. Thermodynamic physics allows orders of magnitude more throughput at far lower cost. Fusion (net energy achieved at NIF 2022), advanced fission (SMRs, Gen IV), and enhanced geothermal are all within the adjacent possible. Energy is the denominator in Musk's utility-delta: cheap energy improves every human life.
The success vision · 20 years horizon
If we solve this, here is the world we get.
Before · today
~700M humans lack reliable electricity. Clean firm baseload requires policy heroics. Industrial heat + desalination + direct air capture remain economically marginal at current energy prices.
After · 20 years
Energy approaches "too cheap to meter" ($0.01–0.02/kWh wholesale). Universal access. Industrial heat, mass desalination, and carbon removal become economically trivial.
Voices on this quest
3 thinkers“Earth will run on sustainable energy, sooner with Tesla, later without.”
The entire Tesla Master Plan is a bet that a sustainable-energy economy is both necessary and engineering-tractable. Solar + batteries + electrification is the physics-possible path.
Nuclear, fusion, and solar abundance are the central infrastructure quests. Safety is an engineering achievement of progress, not a brake on it.
“A good quest makes the future better than our world today. A bad quest doesn’t improve the world much at all, or makes it worse.”
Energy abundance, specifically fusion, geothermal, and next-gen fission, is a canonical hard/good quest that markets structurally underfund.
Companies on this quest
34 mappedCadmium-telluride thin-film solar — non-Chinese supply chain, larger US manufacturing capacity than the rest of the industry combined.
High-temperature superconducting tokamak (SPARC, ARC). Aiming for commercial fusion energy by early 2030s.
Microreactor developer (Aurora). Fast-spectrum fission using recycled nuclear fuel.
Pulsed, aneutronic fusion with direct electricity conversion. Signed 50MW PPA with Microsoft targeting 2028.
First SMR design certified by the US NRC (VOYGR-77). 77 MWe modules, integral pressurized water reactor. Romania CE Oltenia deployment in development.
Aneutronic fusion via field-reversed configuration (p-B11 fuel). Backed by Google, NEA, Vulcan. Cancer-therapy spinout TAE Life Sciences.
Lead-cooled fast reactor running on reprocessed nuclear waste (MOX fuel). Closes the fuel cycle. HQ London, R&D in Italy and France.
Iron-air batteries — 100-hour storage at ~1/10th the cost per kWh of lithium. First commercial deployments with Xcel and Great River Energy underway.
Enhanced geothermal using horizontal drilling from oil & gas. Operating commercial pilot in Nevada.
Microreactor designs ZEUS (solid-core, mobile) and ODIN (low-pressure salt). IPO May 2024. R&D-stage; no operating reactor yet.
100 MW PEM electrolyzer plants for green hydrogen at industrial scale. First gigawatt-class factory in Devens, MA.
Pulsed magnetic fusion using impedance-matched Marx generators. $900M Series A at launch — one of the largest seed-equivalent rounds in fusion.
Gravity-based long-duration storage (composite blocks lifted by automated cranes), plus battery and green hydrogen platforms. Operations in China, Australia, US.
Advanced fission reactors using molten-salt coolant. Construction permit issued; Google PPA for 500MW.
High-temperature gas-cooled SMR. Amazon deal for 5GW+; TRISO fuel fabrication facility under construction.
Compact spherical tokamak with high-temperature superconducting magnets. ST40 device hit 100M °C ion temperature in 2022.
Magnetized target fusion — plasma compressed by mechanically-driven liquid metal liner. LM26 demonstration plant in Richmond, BC.
Sheared-flow-stabilized Z-pinch fusion. No magnets or lasers — uses a column of plasma to confine itself. FuZE-Q device achieved fusion plasma in 2023.
Inertial fusion via projectile-driven target compression. Spun out of Oxford. Demonstrated fusion in 2022.
Laser-driven inertial fusion using nano-structured targets. Partnered with Colorado State for a $150M test facility.
Stellarator fusion — uses HTS magnets in twisted geometry to confine plasma without plasma current drive. Infinity One pilot plant planned at TVA Bull Run site.
Stellarator fusion. Spun out of Max Planck IPP (Wendelstein 7-X). Stellaris reference design targeting 2030s pilot plant.
Sodium-cooled fast reactor (Natrium, 345 MWe) with integrated molten salt thermal storage for load-following. First plant under construction in Kemmerer, WY. Founded by Bill Gates.
Plug-and-play 20 MWe modular pressurized water reactor. Sells power directly to industrial offtakers via PPA. Multiple deployment agreements in Poland, UK, Romania.
Sodium-cooled microreactor (10 MWe). Pod-based, factory-built, designed for AI data center pairings. Idaho National Lab partnership.
Portable 1 MWe high-temperature gas-cooled microreactor (Kaleidos) for off-grid, military, and disaster-relief use. NRC operating license in process.
Closed-loop geothermal — drills a heat-collecting radiator underground, no fracking or aquifer dependency. First commercial Eavor-Loop under construction in Geretsried, Germany.
Millimeter-wave drilling (gyrotron-vaporized rock) to reach 10–20 km depth, where geothermal heat is hot enough to retrofit any coal plant. MIT spinout.
Pressure-driven enhanced geothermal — uses the earth as a giant battery, pumping water in under pressure and releasing it for both baseload and storage. Meta data-center PPA signed 2024.
Advanced compressed-air energy storage (A-CAES) using purpose-built underground caverns. 8+ hour duration. Multi-GWh projects in development in Australia and California.
Solid-carbon thermal batteries delivering process heat and power for heavy industry. Cheap charge from intermittent renewables, output as 1500 °C heat.
Heat-storage refractory bricks charged by renewable electricity, deliver continuous high-temperature process heat. Backed by Microsoft, Breakthrough Energy.
Concentrated solar with computer-vision-aimed heliostats producing 1000+ °C process heat for industry. Backed by Bill Gates; SPAC-listed (NYSE: HLGN).
Perovskite-on-silicon tandem solar cells holding the world-record certified efficiency for commercial-size cells (~28%). Brandenburg fab shipping commercial modules.
Capital funding this quest
12 allocatorsThiel Fellowship
Fellowship$100k to stop out of school and build something important.
best for: Under-22 builders with spiky talent and a real project.
776 Fellowship
Fellowship$100k over two years for 18-24 year olds tackling climate change.
best for: Young climate-focused founders bridging activism and company building.
Activate Fellowship
AcceleratorTwo-year salary and national-lab access for scientists taking PhD research to market.
best for: Technical founders who need time and lab equipment, not just cash.
Prime Coalition
Catalytic CapitalCatalytic capital for climate tech that would not get conventional VC funding.
best for: Climate-tech teams facing the Valley of Death between science and scale.
Speculative Technologies
Focused Research OrgARPA-style coordinated research programs for big-if-true platform tech.
best for: Research areas that are not yet startups but could unlock whole fields.
Homeworld Collective
Focused Research OrgClimate biotech is neglected vs pharma. Fund the gap.
best for: Early-stage experiments in greenhouse gas removal and climate biology.
Deep Science Ventures
Venture StudioOutcome-first venture creation. Define the holy-grail outcome, then recruit founders.
best for: Founders who want a co-founder thesis and institutional support from day one.
Marble
Venture StudioHard climate tech studio, pair scientists with operators.
best for: Scientists who want an operator co-founder paired in residence.
Founders Fund
Venture CapitalContrarian hard tech that rebuilds the industrial base.
best for: Scaling massive hard-tech quests, space, defense, biotech, fusion.
a16z American Dynamism
Venture CapitalNational-interest technology, aerospace, defense, manufacturing, public safety.
best for: Founders rebuilding American industrial capacity.
Fifty Years
Venture CapitalEvery portfolio company must solve a UN SDG. Profit with purpose, no exceptions.
best for: Mission-aligned technical founders who want to marry returns and impact.
Rise Fund (TPG)
Venture CapitalGrowth-stage impact investing with rigorous Impact Multiple of Money scoring.
best for: Growth-stage impact companies with measurable IMM.