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Voice

Tyler Cowen

Economist & Writer · George Mason, Emergent Ventures · site

Economist at George Mason, director of Emergent Ventures, co-originator of progress studies with Patrick Collison. Author of The Great Stagnation and Talent. Prolific blogger at Marginal Revolution.

Key writings

Positions on problems

Scientific productivity

The Great Stagnation thesis: since roughly 1973 the low-hanging fruit of science and industry has been picked. Restoring the innovation engine is the meta-problem.

The Great Stagnation (2011)

Fertility decline & demographic stagnation

Demographic stagnation and complacency are under-discussed civilizational risks. Cultural risk aversion compounds into stagnation.

The Complacent Class (2017)

Pedagogy at scale

Finding and developing talent is an underrated problem. Most selection is bad, most mentorship is worse, and the tails of ability are where civilizational value compounds.

Talent (with Daniel Gross, 2022)

AI safety & alignment

Emergent Ventures has funded AI-safety projects and unconventional alignment researchers under the "fast grants" model.

Emergent Ventures grant cohorts